The Determinants of Disaggregated Capital Inflows to Emerging Market Economies: Empirical Evidence from Korea

Kim, Sungcheol; Kim, Kyunghun

doi:2023.38.1.1

The Journal of Economic Integration 2023 March;38(1) :1-31.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2023.38.1.1

The Determinants of Disaggregated Capital Inflows to Emerging Market Economies: Empirical Evidence from Korea

Sungcheol Kim, ¹ Kyunghun Kim, ²

¹Ministry of Economy and Finance, Republic of Korea
²Hongik University, Republic of Korea

Corresponding Author: Sungcheol Kim ,Email: kimscmosf@korea.kr

ABSTRACT

This paper investigates the key factors in determining disaggregated portfolio investment flows to Korea. I categorize total portfolio investment flows by investor type, such as global banks, investment funds, securities firms, and pension companies. From the structural vector autoregression model with dummy variables, this paper finds that the properties of each institution's capital inflows are quite different. For example, investment funds and securities firm flows are more responsive to stock market index, whereas pension companies are more sensitive to domestic output growth. This implies that the impact of any economic shock on the total foreign capital flows cannot be generalized as the impact on each investment group's capital flow.

JEL Classification

C32: Time Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
F32: Current Account Adjustment; Short Term Capital Movements
F38:
G15: International Financial Markets

Keywords: Portfolio flows | Investor type | Push and Pull factors | Korea